BIT Langlang · 2024-03-23 — Tightening Up in a Correction Winter: Trade Only Right-Side Bounces, Sit Out Until the Range Breaks
Judging that BTC has entered a clear correction winter, the speaker walks through which bounces in the decline were tradable and which were not, why the post-bounce range should be left alone until it finally breaks, and the limits of a light left-side starter position. It helps traders decide whether to buy dips in a correction, when to pass, and how to switch from uptrend tactics to defense.
2024-03-23 · 41:33
- After a strong rally, the end of the correction can offer a bounce trade, but enter only on the right side once price reclaims the drop, turns up, or a strong bounce breaks the downtrend.
- A bounce trade takes only the bounce and exits on target; if the bounce is over by the time it's clear, or price has already left the low-risk zone, simply pass.
- After the big bounce, price enters a range; skip trades inside it and wait for the eventual breakout.
- Ignore altcoins until BTC starts moving; ordinary breakouts tend to fail in winter, so don't trade them.
- Use only a light starter position with a preset stop to avoid missing a reversal, and stick to no counter-trend trades, no trades without logic, and no overtrading.
- 4:46 A week of correction: clearly winter
- 7:02 Bounce long after the drop is reclaimed
- 8:35 The best entry: end of the downtrend
- 10:45 Post-bounce range: wait for the breakout
- 12:32 Left-side starter position and sizing limits
- 17:08 Ignore the news; altcoins wait for BTC
- 23:46 Reviewing sub-cycles within the big cycle
- 32:52 No breakouts in winter and three ground rules
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